My personal prediction. Ireland probably don't have the quality to compete at this level with their current lineup. I think their bowling, both pace and spin, are extremely weak, although they may be able to do well on green tracks at home. Their batting is OK, and with all the rain they get, they will draw a lot of matches that they otherwise wouldn't.
Afghanistan have a decent bowling attack, with world class spinners. Pace attack will be overly reliant on Dawlat, as the rest of their fast bowlers are either trundlers (Gulbadin, Naveen, Mirwais) or not good enough (Shapoor). Their batting is the weakpoint. Shahzad is a hack, and only Rehmat and Nabi are of Test quality. They probably have more depth in uncapped domestic players or guys who haven't played much so far (Javed Ahmadi, Usman Ghani), but their selectors seem hell bent of picking tried and true failures like Stanikzai until they retire from old age.
The main thing I want to see is how they do vis a vis Bangladesh in their early years. Both teams are better than BD in 2000 (Ireland's batting is stronger, and Afghanistan's bowling is stronger), and it took Bangladesh a long time to get our first results against top sides.
We lost 22 Tests vs Top 9 teams before our first genuine draw (in the West Indies in 2004). Although we were likely robbed of a first win in Pakistan in 2003 when Rashid Latif claimed a catch off the turf. We went another 41 Tests before our 2nd genuine draw (38 losses, 3 rain affected draws) in Sri Lanka in 2013. A few close losses in that period but mostly just got outclassed. Another 12 before our first real win at home vs England in 2016. All totaled, that is 78 Tests before our first genuine win. Wow! That is an atrocious record, and I really can't see Uganda taking more games to win a Test, let alone Afghanistan or Ireland!



Data from here: http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/engine ... ew=results